Ecological Forecasting & Dynamics

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Range shifts
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All Lessons
Course Introduction
- Discussion Questions
- Instructor Notes
Paleoecological Dynamics
R: Time and date data
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
Phenology
R: Time series decomposition
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
Community Dynamics
R: Time series autocorrelation
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
Intro to Time Series Data
- Discussion Questions
- Instructor Notes
Range shifts
R: Time series modeling 1
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
R: Time series modeling 2
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
R: Time series modeling 3
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
Intro to Ecological Forecasting
R: Forecasting
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
Uncertainty
- Reading
- Instructor Notes
Uncertainty
No Class
- Discussion Questions
- Instructor Notes
R: Forecast evaluation
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
R: Forecast evaluation 2
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
Intro to GAMS
Fitting time-series GAMS in R
Forecasting with GAMs in R
Ask us anything 2
- Discussion Questions
- Instructor Notes
Species Distribution Models
R: Species Distribution Models
State Space Models in Ecology
R: Complex Time-Series Models 1
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
R: Complex Time-Series Models 2
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
R: State Space Models 1
Data-driven models
R: Empirical Dynamic Modeling
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial
R: State Space Models 2
- Data & Software
- R Tutorial Part 2
Forecasting scenarios
Election forecasts
Forecasting Ethics
Hurricane Forecasts
Course wrap up
Iterative Forecasting
Lesson Template

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Range shifts
Reading

Reading

Readings

Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming

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