Instructor Notes
Introductions
- Instructors
- Goals for the class
- Forecasting is increasingly important
- Difficult
- Ecology hasn’t historically done this well
- Need to study dynamics in order to understand this
- Need to learn how to work with dynamic data
- Learn from other fields dealing with similar problems
- Students
- Introduce yourself
- Tell us what do you hope to get out of the class
How the course will run
- Mix of paper discussion & R tutorials
- Discussion
- Read paper in advance
- Questions to think about provided to help guide thinking while reading
- Big group,
- R tutorials
- Introductions to methods for working with dynamic data and forecasting
- I do, we do, you do
- We will demonstrate a concept, have you follow along on your computers,
and then have you do something very similar in class
- 2 credit course so other than reading and installing packages for R tutorials most work will be in class
- Grades
- 50% participation
- Participating in paper discussions in class
- Alternatively you can submit written answers to the discussion questions
- 50% R tutorials
- Attending class is all that is required for R tutorials
- If you can’t make class follow along with R tutorial notes
- Will include some sections for you to complete on your own
- Turn in the tutorial to Canvas
Introduction to the website
Introduction to Canvas
Questions about the course
- Any questions about how the course is going to work?
Opening discussion
- What kinds of forecasts are you familiar with?
- What do these forecasts for us and our society?
- Do we think we can forecast successfully in ecology?